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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Pat Freiermuth is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 85th percentile among TEs with 5.0 targets.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 29.2.
  • Pat Freiermuth's receiving performance has gotten better this season, compiling 4.0 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.9 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.

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