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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a top-tier 71.0% Route% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth stands among the tight ends with the most usage in the league.

In this week's contest, Pat Freiermuth is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 90th percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.

Pat Freiermuth comes in as one of the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.2 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

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