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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 69.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Pat Freiermuth to earn 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • The Chargers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (78.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Chargers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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