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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.

With a remarkable 69.6% Route Participation% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth places as one of the tight ends with the most usage in football.

In this game, Pat Freiermuth is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 88th percentile among tight ends with 4.7 targets.

Since the start of last season, the weak Broncos pass defense has yielded a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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