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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-146/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Pat Freiermuth is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.9 targets.

With an exceptional 14.9% Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

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