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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With an elite 74.9% Route Participation% (82nd percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Pat Freiermuth to earn 4.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.1%) to TEs this year (73.1%).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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