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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 76.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among TEs.

In this week's contest, Pat Freiermuth is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 75th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

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