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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 77.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth comes in as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

Pat Freiermuth's 90.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.2% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in defending receivers.

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