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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-157/+117).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to total 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth's 39.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 93rd percentile for tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.

Pat Freiermuth has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football among TEs, completing a mere 66.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) versus TEs since the start of last season (63.5%).

The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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