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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.

The predictive model expects Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 4.0 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 67.8% to 71.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.31 seconds per snap.

Pat Freiermuth's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 41.2.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.

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