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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

In this game, Pat Freiermuth is forecasted by the projections to place in the 79th percentile among tight ends with 4.8 targets.

The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

Pat Freiermuth's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 41.2.

The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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