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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Bengals pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.7%) to tight ends this year (79.7%).

The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Pat Freiermuth's 9.7% Target% this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his pass game workload over last season's 18.9% rate.

When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Pat Freiermuth's receiving performance has diminished this year, compiling a mere 1.8 adjusted receptions vs 4.3 last year.

Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 67.8% to 64.5%.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

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