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Pat Freiermuth
NFL · Player Props
Pat Freiermuth
TE · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receptions
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:56 AM UTC
NFL Props Pat Freiermuth Receptions

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • The Bengals pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.7%) to tight ends this year (79.7%).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Favors Under
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 9.7% Target% this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his pass game workload over last season's 18.9% rate.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth's receiving performance has diminished this year, compiling a mere 1.8 adjusted receptions vs 4.3 last year.
  • Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 67.8% to 64.5%.
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