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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to accrue 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).
  • Pat Freiermuth has been among the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 4.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.1% to 67.5%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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