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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+127).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to total 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 26.8.

Pat Freiermuth's receiving talent has been refined this year, compiling 4.7 yards per game compared to a mere 3.6 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 80.0% to 69.5%.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (52.6%) vs. TEs this year (52.6%).

The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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