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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With a sizeable 78.0% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth ranks among the TEs with the highest volume in football.

In this week's contest, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.2 targets.

When it comes to air yards, Pat Freiermuth grades out in the towering 78th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a superb 22.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 49.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

This year, the imposing New York Giants pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a measly 2.7 YAC.

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