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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a top-tier 71.0% Route% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth stands among the tight ends with the most usage in the league.

In this week's contest, Pat Freiermuth is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 90th percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.

In regards to air yards, Pat Freiermuth grades out in the towering 78th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing an impressive 25.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 2.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

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