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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 69.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among TEs.

Our trusted projections expect Pat Freiermuth to earn 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

As it relates to air yards, Pat Freiermuth grades out in the lofty 79th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 26.0 per game.

The Chargers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (78.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.26 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-fewest in football.

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