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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 5.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.4% pass rate.

This year, the fierce Ravens pass defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a measly 4.3 YAC.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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