|
|
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-131/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -131.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.With a sizeable 76.1% Route Participation% (86th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.The model projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.After accumulating 27.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has significantly declined this season, currently boasting 18.0 per game.The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.This year, the fierce Ravens pass defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a mere 3.9 YAC.When it comes to safeties pass-rushing, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
