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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 77.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging an excellent 34.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Pat Freiermuth's 90.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.2% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

After accruing 27.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has produced significantly less this season, now boasting 20.0 per game.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Washington Commanders defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 41.0) versus tight ends this year.

More Pat Freiermuth Player Props

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