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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Pat Freiermuth's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 67.8% to 47.6%.
  • Pat Freiermuth's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a measly 1.72 yards-per-target vs a 7.69 figure last season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, conceding 6.97 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

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