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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

In this game, Pat Freiermuth is forecasted by the projections to place in the 79th percentile among tight ends with 4.8 targets.

This year, the weak Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a whopping 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 9th-worst in football.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

Pat Freiermuth has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).

Pat Freiermuth's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 41.2.

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