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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (59.0) to TEs this year.
  • The Bengals pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against TEs this year, conceding 8.49 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 9.7% Target% this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his pass game workload over last season's 18.9% rate.
  • After accruing 50.0 air yards per game last season, Pat Freiermuth has produced significantly fewer this season, currently averaging 16.0 per game.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Pat Freiermuth has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).

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