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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a heavy 11.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Freiermuth's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.0% to 71.4%.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.4%) to tight ends this year (63.4%).

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus tight ends this year, allowing 6.36 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has given their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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