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Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 5.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.

Pat Freiermuth has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack this season (19.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (12.8%).

Pat Freiermuth has notched quite a few more air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).

Pat Freiermuth has accrued many more receiving yards per game (52.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Pat Freiermuth's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.1% to 67.7%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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