Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (88.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (55.3%).
Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 76.5% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the league (209.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Parris Campbell has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.