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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
  • Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (88.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (55.3%).
  • Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 76.5% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the league (209.0) versus wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Parris Campbell has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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