Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Parris Campbell to total 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Parris Campbell to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (18.8% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.1% in games he has played).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the NFL (74.8%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (74.8%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, allowing 9.11 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.