Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:11 PM EST

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/-117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.07 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential target this season (88.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.3%).
Parris Campbell has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

Favors Under

The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Parris Campbell has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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