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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/-117).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.07 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential target this season (88.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.3%).
  • Parris Campbell has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
  • Parris Campbell has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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