Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential target this season (87.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.3%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Parris Campbell has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 7th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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