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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a giant 11.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Parris Campbell has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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