Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential target this season (88.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (55.3%).
Parris Campbell has accumulated many more receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).
Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 77.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Parris Campbell has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) vs. WRs this year (62.1%).

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