Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has run fewer routes this season (88.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.3%).
Parris Campbell has totaled a lot more receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.
Parris Campbell has compiled far fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.09 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.