My Account Log Out

reorder

Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+411/-895).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -819 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -895.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The Indianapolis Colts offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.27 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching a terrific 82.7% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among WRs.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Parris Campbell has totaled far fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (62.6%) vs. wideouts this year (62.6%).

The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in football to WRs: 0.50 per game this year.

More Parris Campbell Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™