Parris Campbell Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving TD

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+328/-612).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -583 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -612.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a stellar 81.7% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 6th-most passing touchdowns in football to wideouts: 1.14 per game this year.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Parris Campbell has notched quite a few less air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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