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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+328/-612).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -583 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -612.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a stellar 81.7% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 6th-most passing touchdowns in football to wideouts: 1.14 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Parris Campbell has notched quite a few less air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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