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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+437/-1001).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -877 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1001.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Parris Campbell to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the end zone this week (9.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 78.5% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 10th-most TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

Parris Campbell has posted far fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

Parris Campbell's 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 31.7.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Parris Campbell grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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