My Account Log Out

reorder

Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-1010).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -991 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1010.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Parris Campbell to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (11.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

The Indianapolis Colts O-line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis Colts have utilized play action on 33.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.

Parris Campbell's 13.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 31.7.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (60.8%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.8%).

The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 10th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More Parris Campbell Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™