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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+236/-374).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +257 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +236.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 77.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the most passing TDs in football to wideouts: 1.40 per game this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Parris Campbell has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) vs. WRs this year (62.1%).

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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