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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+296/-513).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -475 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -513.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Parris Campbell to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.8% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Parris Campbell has notched quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.67 per game this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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