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Parker Hesse

Parker Hesse Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

Parker Hesse Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.

Parker Hesse has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (34.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (16.1%).

Parker Hesse has been among the most effective receivers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a terrific 9.66 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 79th percentile.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (83.9%) to tight ends this year (83.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.

Parker Hesse has been among the bottom tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a mere 12.0 yards per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among TEs.

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