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Parker Hesse

Parker Hesse Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Parker Hesse Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (58.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in football (78.7%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (78.7%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, conceding 8.62 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Parker Hesse has been among the weakest TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 10.0 yards per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among TEs.

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