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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+117/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his team's passing attack this week (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.3% in games he has played).

Olamide Zaccheaus's receiving talent has gotten better this year, accumulating 2.7 adjusted catches vs just 0.9 last year.

Olamide Zaccheaus has been one of the most reliable receivers in the league, hauling in a remarkable 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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