Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.
Olamide Zaccheaus has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 38.6% of snaps vs 70.4% last year.
The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Washington's collection of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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