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Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.Olamide Zaccheaus has been a more important option in his offense's pass attack this year (15.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.6%).The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Falcons are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.The Atlanta Falcons O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
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