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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his team's passing attack this week (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (11.3% in games he has played).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 29.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a material progression in his receiving ability over last year's 15.0 mark.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has been one of the most reliable receivers in the league, hauling in a remarkable 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the imposing Falcons pass defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a feeble 3.5 YAC.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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