Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Olamide Zaccheaus's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 22.8.
Olamide Zaccheaus has notched a lot more receiving yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Olamide Zaccheaus's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 62.5% to 86.5%.
Olamide Zaccheaus's receiving efficiency has gotten better this season, accumulating 13.32 yards-per-target compared to a mere 8.26 rate last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in football.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.