Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Olamide Zaccheaus has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (9.6%).
Olamide Zaccheaus has accrued significantly more air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.6 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (62.9%) to wide receivers this year (62.9%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency against wideouts this year, surrendering 7.36 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.

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