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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+352/-686).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +413 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +352.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (17.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).

Olamide Zaccheaus's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 22.8.

Olamide Zaccheaus's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 62.5% to 86.5%.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wideouts this year (70.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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