Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+347/-673).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +350 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +347.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (17.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).
Olamide Zaccheaus has accrued many more air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
Olamide Zaccheaus's 35.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 22.8.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 8th-least passing touchdowns in football to wideouts: 0.57 per game this year.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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