Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-855).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -756 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -855.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (14.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played).
Olamide Zaccheaus has accumulated many more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
Olamide Zaccheaus's 35.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 22.8.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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