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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-855).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -756 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -855.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (14.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has accumulated many more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 35.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 22.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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