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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+399/-848).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -820 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -848.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the goal line this week (15.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has compiled many more air yards this season (36.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 22.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.4%) versus wideouts this year (61.4%).
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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